King Me — This Year’s Oscars Will Rule Them All
Sgt. Angle Reporting for Duty!
By now you’ve read, analyzed, rationalized, and determined who the winners will be for the most important film awards show of the year: The Oscars.
Of the most popular awards, only Aaron Sorkin remains the only sure-thing, in my book, for Best Adapted Screenplay (The Social Network). As great as the other nominees are (127 Hours, Toy Story 3, True Grit, Winter’s Bone) Sorkin is long overdue for this kind of recognition, and he’s won just about every award available for writing this season. The only possible upset here would be if the Academy decides that a screenplay award is the one way they can honor the Coen Brothers in an otherwise difficult year.
Actor and Actress races seem poised to go to the favorites — Colin Firth and Natalie Portman, respectively (The King’s Speech and Black Swan). Firth is now the frontrunner — the Academy won’t think highly enough of Jeff Bridges to honor him two years in a row, Javier Bardem’s role is too obscure, and Eisenberg and Franco are too young to come away with this — Eisenberg is the youngest person to be nominated for Best Actor. Portman’s competition is really only Annette Bening for The Kids are All Right. She’s seen as overdue and under-appreciated, she’s older, and the role was always seen as juicy enough. Nicole Kidman has already got her golden man, Jennifer Lawrence has plenty of good years ahead of her — the same could be said for Michelle Williams.
The Supporting Actor/Actress categories are highly competitive, as is par for the course. Christian Bale certainly deserves his statue for The Fighter, but Geoffrey Rush’s role is classier, contains humor and sentimentality, and isn’t as showy. Likewise, Melissa Leo is the meat of The Fighter’s conflict, but Hailee Steinfeld led and carried True Grit. She’s just too young to come away with the little man this time around.
SAG winners, which matched perfectly last year in all the actor races with the Oscars, were Colin Firth, Natalie Portman, Christian Bale, and Melissa Leo. Count on these four to take home the big gold guy at the end of the day.
The bigger news lately, however, is the PGA and DGA wins for The King’s Speech. So far this season, The Social Network has dominated just about every major critics award across the board, including the Golden Globes. But these two wins certainly spell, well, uncertainty, for Network’s chances on Oscar night. For one thing, there have only been six DGA winners who have not eventually gone on to win the Oscar. In the past 10 years, the PGA winner has gone on to win the Best Picture Oscar 60% of the time. This bodes well for Tom Hooper’s 12-nomination movie, not so well for Network’s 8 nominations.
David Fincher deserves the win this year, not only because The Social Network is an all-around great movie, but because it is not traditional. There are nearly invisible CG moments that you rarely see used with subtlety; dialogue is hammered out faster than Sorkin types (definitely faster than he actually speaks), and all of the actors put forth more than worthy efforts to remain unapologetic and true to their characters throughout. The movie is a whole piece, one made with care and meticulous dedication — not only to the facts of the depositions and history of facebook, but also a tribute to the present tense, to the message and nature of the technology expounded upon within. Hooper’s direction, on the other hand, is very traditional — moving though it is, his scenes unfold like a well-made play. There is nothing wrong with a good play, or with traditional camera angles and storytelling. But the actors carried the film, whereas The Social Network is a full collaboration.
Moving on.
Chris Nolan was ignored for Best Director. Get over it. His time will come. Inception has 8 nominations, same as The Social Network. Remember, the movie is the movie, not the director.
Read it here first: The winners according to the Sgt.
Picture: The King’s Speech
Director: David Fincher
Screenplay adapted: The Social Network
Screenplay original: The King’s Speech
Actor: Colin Firth
Actress: Natalie Portman
Supp. Actor: Christian Bale
Supp. Actress: Hailee Steinfeld (I’m pulling for her)
Original Score: The Social Network (Where’s Tron: Legacy?)
Visual Effects: Inception (unique blend of CG and Practical you rarely see these days. If Alice in Wonderland comes away with this, I will sound the alarm)
Cinematography: While Black Swan should win, I believe this is Roger Deakins’ year, finally, for True Grit.
Enjoy the show, folks. This is the last island of prestigious awards that is not (currently) ruled by pandering and money, at least, not as publicly as nearly every other award on the planet. Seriously, even the changeover to ten Best Picture nominees is such a clear grasp for more viewers and ratings and dollars it makes me want to run through the halls of my high school and scream at the top of my lungs. And then punch John Mayer.
You are dismissed.
Sgt. Angle































